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Central African Republic conflict (government and Russian forces vs armed groups)

Active fighting Minor conflict Civil war Since 10 December 2012 Africa

A decade-old civil war has subsided into a low-level conflict in which President Touadéra's government, protected by Russia's Africa Corps (formerly Wagner) and Rwandan troops, controls Bangui and the main towns while remnants of rebel coalitions and bandits operate in the north and east. The largest groups (3R and UPC) dissolved under a July 2025 peace deal, Touadéra won a contested third term in December 2025, and the main 2026 violence has come from Sudan-linked armed groups on the Vakaga border, including the Am-Dafok attacks of June-July that killed about 40, as the UN mission MINUSCA begins to draw down.

Key figures

Estimates as of 23 September 2026 · reviewed 19 October 2026
Total killed (cumulative)
13,594+
as of 23 September 2026
Civilians killed
29+
as of 23 September 2026
Deaths, last 12 months
41+
recorded fatalities
Internally displaced
500,000+
as of 23 September 2026
Refugees abroad
750,000+
as of 23 September 2026
Duration
13 years, 10 months
since 10 December 2012
Read these numbers carefully. They are compiled from the sources listed below (UN agencies, conflict-data projects such as UCDP and ACLED, governments, NGOs and news organisations) whose methods differ — some count only documented deaths, others estimate excess mortality. Ranges show the spread between sources; a single figure means only one credible estimate exists. Nothing on this page is a live counter: figures change only when the page is reviewed and rebuilt. Overall confidence in the casualty picture: low.

Who is fighting

Parties, allies and estimated forces

Government of the Central African Republic and partners

Forces & groups
  • Central African Armed Forces (FACA)
  • Russia's Africa Corps / Wagner
  • Rwanda Defence Force
  • MINUSCA (UN)
  • Integrated former militias (incl. Azande Ani Kpi Gbe elements)
External support
  • Russia
  • Rwanda
  • European Union (training)
Estimated strength
FACA ≈ 14,150 military and 1,000 paramilitary (2025); Russian personnel ≈ 1,000-1,500; MINUSCA ≈ 18,660 (May 2025, drawing down) source ↗

Armed groups

Forces & groups
  • Coalition of Patriots for Change (CPC) remnants
  • FPRC and ex-Séléka factions
  • Anti-balaka factions
  • Sudan-linked armed groups and RSF-aligned fighters on the Vakaga border
  • Bandits and local militias
External support
  • Sudan's RSF (alleged links)
  • Chad (alleged)
Estimated strength
much reduced from the CPC's 2022 claim of 20,000+ after the 2025 dissolution of 3R and UPC; current numbers unknown source ↗

Force sizes are estimates of personnel or fighters, usually from IISS, government statements or specialist reporting; irregular forces are especially hard to count. "(reported)" marks external support that the backer disputes or has not confirmed.

Background

Origins, phases and the current situation

The Séléka rebel coalition overthrew President Bozizé in March 2013, triggering sectarian war with Christian-majority anti-balaka militias and a French and UN intervention. Armed groups came to control most of the territory outside Bangui. Faustin-Archange Touadéra, elected in 2016, brought in Russian 'instructors' (Wagner) from 2018 in exchange for mining concessions; with Rwandan troops they repelled the Coalition of Patriots for Change (CPC) assault on Bangui in January 2021 and pushed the rebels back from the west.

A 2023 referendum removed term limits and Touadéra won a third term in December 2025 amid opposition protests. In July 2025 the 3R and UPC groups disarmed and dissolved under a peace agreement, leaving the CPC, FPRC factions, Azande militias and bandits active in the north-east and south-east; over 10,000 fighters have been demobilised since 2017. In March 2026 Russia formalised Africa Corps' takeover of Wagner's role. Spillover from Sudan is now the main driver of violence: armed groups operating across the Vakaga border killed 29 and displaced 17,000 at Am-Dafok on 30 June 2026 and attacked the MINUSCA base there on 6 July; over 31,000 Sudanese refugees have arrived since 2023. The UN Security Council extended sanctions to July 2027, and the ICC convicted former Séléka commander Mahamat Said Abdel Kani in September 2026. About 500,000 people remain internally displaced and 750,000 are refugees abroad.

Recent developments

Latest events · newest first

Timeline

Key events since 10 December 2012

Casualties and displacement in detail

Low and high estimates with their sources
MeasureLowHighWhat the figure covers · source
Total killed (cumulative)13,594–Compiled count of deaths since 2012 as of October 2022; a Columbia University study estimated that 5.6% of the population died in 2022 from all causes, far above baseline. 214 UN personnel have been killed.
en.wikipedia.org ↗
Combatants killed––Not published; at least 176-214 UN peacekeepers killed since 2014.
cfr.org ↗
Civilians killed29–Am-Dafok attack of 30 June 2026 only (UN mission figure); other 2026 civilian deaths not aggregated.
cfr.org ↗
Wounded––Not recorded; three peacekeepers wounded on 6 July 2026.
thedefensepost.com ↗
Deaths in the last 12 months41–Sum of documented 2026 incidents (Am-Dafok 29 and 10; Bangui-area 2); excludes unreported attacks in the north-east and south-east.
cfr.org ↗
Internally displaced500,000–About 500,000 IDPs (CFR); 17,000 displaced by the Am-Dafok attack, of whom 5,000 had returned by September 2026.
cfr.org ↗
Refugees abroad750,000–About 750,000 CAR refugees, mostly in Cameroon and the DRC (CFR).
cfr.org ↗

Intensity classification: Documented deaths in the last 12 months include 29 killed at Am-Dafok on the Sudan border (30 June 2026), at least 10 killed in an attack on the MINUSCA base there (6 July), a soldier and a Swiss national near Bangui (3 August), and unquantified 'fresh violence' in January 2026 and armed-group attacks on civilians in the north-east and south-east through September; the total is well above 25 but no aggregate exists..

Countries affected

Live population · open a country for its full profile

Frequently asked questions

Who is fighting in the Central African Republic conflict (government and Russian forces vs armed groups)?

Government of the Central African Republic and partners (Central African Armed Forces (FACA), Russia's Africa Corps / Wagner, Rwanda Defence Force, MINUSCA (UN), …), supported by Russia, Rwanda, European Union (training); against Armed groups (Coalition of Patriots for Change (CPC) remnants, FPRC and ex-Séléka factions, Anti-balaka factions, Sudan-linked armed groups and RSF-aligned fighters on the Vakaga border, …), supported by Sudan's RSF (alleged links), Chad (alleged).

How many people have been killed?

Estimates range from 13,594+ killed as of 23 September 2026. Compiled count of deaths since 2012 as of October 2022; a Columbia University study estimated that 5.6% of the population died in 2022 from all causes, far above baseline. 214 UN personnel have been killed. Civilian deaths are put at 29+. Figures come from the sources listed on this page and differ in method; see the caveats above.

Is the Central African Republic conflict (government and Russian forces vs armed groups) still ongoing in 2026?

Status as of 19 October 2026: Active fighting — A decade-old civil war has subsided into a low-level conflict in which President Touadéra's government, protected by Russia's Africa Corps (formerly Wagner) and Rwandan troops, controls Bangui and the main towns while remnants of rebel coalitions and bandits operate in the north and east. The largest groups (3R and UPC) dissolved under a July 2025 peace deal, Touadéra won a contested third term in December 2025, and the main 2026 violence has come from Sudan-linked armed groups on the Vakaga border, including the Am-Dafok attacks of June-July that killed about 40, as the UN mission MINUSCA begins to draw down.

When did it start?

The current phase began on 10 December 2012, but the underlying conflict dates back to 2004 — 13 years, 10 months ago.

Sources

Where these figures come from
  1. CFR Global Conflict Tracker — Central African Republic cfr.org
  2. HRW World Report 2026 — Central African Republic hrw.org
  3. Security Council Report — CAR (July 2026) securitycouncilreport.org
  4. Global Centre for R2P — Central African Republic globalr2p.org
  5. Wikipedia — Central African Republic Civil War en.wikipedia.org

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This page summarises publicly available reporting and does not take sides. Casualty and force figures are estimates compiled on 19 October 2026; see each figure's source for its method and date. Page generated 2026-10-19. How this tracker works.