Home Conflicts Africa Libya: divided state (Tripoli government vs Haftar's eastern camp)

Libya: divided state (Tripoli government vs Haftar's eastern camp)

Low intensity Minor conflict Civil war Since 16 May 2014 Africa

Libya remains split between the UN-recognised Government of National Unity in Tripoli, backed by Turkey and a patchwork of militias, and the eastern government and Khalifa Haftar's Libyan National Army, backed by Russia's Africa Corps, the UAE and Egypt. Elections have been postponed since 2021; a US-led push for unification produced an initial electoral agreement in August 2026, but the same month saw the assassination of the LNA's intelligence chief, drone strikes on the Zawiya refinery and western power grid attributed by Tripoli to Haftar's camp, and renewed militia clashes.

Key figures

Estimates as of 9 October 2026 Β· reviewed 19 October 2026
Duration
12 years, 5 months
since 16 May 2014
Read these numbers carefully. They are compiled from the sources listed below (UN agencies, conflict-data projects such as UCDP and ACLED, governments, NGOs and news organisations) whose methods differ β€” some count only documented deaths, others estimate excess mortality. Ranges show the spread between sources; a single figure means only one credible estimate exists. Nothing on this page is a live counter: figures change only when the page is reviewed and rebuilt. Overall confidence in the casualty picture: low.

Who is fighting

Parties, allies and estimated forces

Government of National Unity (Tripoli) and allied militias

Forces & groups
  • GNU (Abdul Hamid Dbeibah)
  • 444th and 111th Brigades
  • Stability Support Apparatus and Tripoli militias
  • Misrata and Zawiya armed groups
External support
  • Turkey (troops, drones)
  • Qatar
  • Italy
Estimated strength
unknown; fragmented militias numbering tens of thousands in total (no verified figure) source β†—

Eastern government and Libyan National Army (Haftar)

Forces & groups
  • Libyan National Army (Khalifa and Saddam Haftar)
  • Government of National Stability (Osama Hammad)
  • House of Representatives (Tobruk)
External support
  • Russia (Africa Corps, air bases)
  • United Arab Emirates
  • Egypt
  • Saudi Arabia
  • France (reported)
Estimated strength
unknown; the dominant force in eastern and southern Libya with Chinese- and Turkish-made drones source β†—

Force sizes are estimates of personnel or fighters, usually from IISS, government statements or specialist reporting; irregular forces are especially hard to count. "(reported)" marks external support that the backer disputes or has not confirmed.

Background

Origins, phases and the current situation

The 2011 uprising and NATO intervention toppled Muammar Gaddafi, and a second civil war began in 2014 when Haftar launched 'Operation Dignity' against Islamist militias and rival parliaments formed in Tripoli and Tobruk. Haftar's 2019-2020 offensive on Tripoli was defeated with Turkish drones and troops; a ceasefire in October 2020 and the 2021 Government of National Unity under Abdul Hamid Dbeibah were meant to lead to elections that never took place. A rival eastern government under Osama Hammad, Haftar's sons' growing control of the LNA and oil revenues, and Russian basing in the east have entrenched the division.

Violence since 2020 has been episodic: Tripoli militia battles in 2022 and in May 2025 (after the killing of SSA commander al-Kikli, ended by a 14 May ceasefire), fighting in the far south, and the Derna flood disaster of 2023 (11,000+ dead). In 2026 Saif al-Islam Gaddafi was shot dead in Zintan (3 February), LNA-affiliated forces fought smugglers and armed groups near the Niger and Chad borders (February, 'dozens' of soldiers killed), a new 'Southern Liberation Operations Room' attacked an LNA checkpoint at Gatrun (12 July), a car bomb killed LNA intelligence chief Fawzi al-Mansouri in Benghazi (10 August), drone strikes hit the Zawiya refinery and substations (11-12 August), an armed group shut the El Sharara pipeline (21 September) and the House of Representatives removed speaker Aguila Saleh (7 October). The rival governments agreed in principle on an electoral overhaul on 25 August 2026, but Tripoli's accusations that Saddam Haftar directs the drone campaign threaten the US-backed unity process.

Recent developments

Latest events Β· newest first

Timeline

Key events since 16 May 2014

Casualties and displacement in detail

Low and high estimates with their sources
MeasureLowHighWhat the figure covers Β· source
Total killed (cumulative)––No reliable total for 2014-2026; the 2019-2020 Tripoli war alone killed over 2,000 (UN). Storm Daniel in 2023 killed 11,000+ in Derna (not conflict deaths).
cfr.org β†—
Combatants killed––2026: 'dozens' of soldiers in February border clashes (no exact figure), three LNA members on 31 January, LNA intelligence chief on 10 August.
en.wikipedia.org β†—
Civilians killed––Not aggregated; migrant deaths at sea and in mass graves (e.g. 21 bodies near Ajdabiya, January 2026) are not conflict deaths.
en.wikipedia.org β†—
Wounded––Not recorded.
en.wikipedia.org β†—
Deaths in the last 12 months––Reported incidents (February border clashes with 'dozens' of soldiers killed, Benghazi car bomb, Gatrun attack, Surman clashes) suggest a toll above 25, but no source gives a count.
en.wikipedia.org β†—
Internally displaced––IOM counted about 100,000 IDPs in recent years; no 2026 figure retrieved. Over 40,000 were displaced by the 2023 floods.
cfr.org β†—
Refugees abroad––Not applicable at scale; Libya is mainly a transit country for migrants.
cfr.org β†—

Intensity classification: Large-scale fighting ended with the October 2020 ceasefire. In the last 12 months reported deaths include 'dozens' of LNA-affiliated soldiers in multi-day clashes near the Niger and Chad borders (February 2026), three LNA members killed on the Niger border (31 January), the LNA intelligence chief killed by a car bomb in Benghazi (10 August), an attack on an LNA checkpoint at Gatrun (12 July) and militia clashes around Surman (August); the May 2025 Tripoli militia battles fall just outside the window. Included as a frozen conflict of major public interest; the 25-death threshold is probably met but not firmly documented..

Countries affected

Live population Β· open a country for its full profile

Frequently asked questions

Who is fighting in the Libya: divided state (Tripoli government vs Haftar's eastern camp)?

Government of National Unity (Tripoli) and allied militias (GNU (Abdul Hamid Dbeibah), 444th and 111th Brigades, Stability Support Apparatus and Tripoli militias, Misrata and Zawiya armed groups), supported by Turkey (troops, drones), Qatar, Italy; against Eastern government and Libyan National Army (Haftar) (Libyan National Army (Khalifa and Saddam Haftar), Government of National Stability (Osama Hammad), House of Representatives (Tobruk)), supported by Russia (Africa Corps, air bases), United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Saudi Arabia.

Is the Libya: divided state (Tripoli government vs Haftar's eastern camp) still ongoing in 2026?

Status as of 19 October 2026: Low intensity β€” Libya remains split between the UN-recognised Government of National Unity in Tripoli, backed by Turkey and a patchwork of militias, and the eastern government and Khalifa Haftar's Libyan National Army, backed by Russia's Africa Corps, the UAE and Egypt. Elections have been postponed since 2021; a US-led push for unification produced an initial electoral agreement in August 2026, but the same month saw the assassination of the LNA's intelligence chief, drone strikes on the Zawiya refinery and western power grid attributed by Tripoli to Haftar's camp, and renewed militia clashes.

When did it start?

The current phase began on 16 May 2014, but the underlying conflict dates back to 2011 β€” 12 years, 5 months ago.

Sources

Where these figures come from
  1. CFR Global Conflict Tracker β€” Libya cfr.org
  2. UN News β€” Libya political process regains momentum (June 2026) news.un.org
  3. Crisis Group β€” Libya crisisgroup.org
  4. The New Arab β€” Saddam Haftar drone claims (Oct 2026) newarab.com
  5. Wikipedia β€” 2026 in Libya en.wikipedia.org

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This page summarises publicly available reporting and does not take sides. Casualty and force figures are estimates compiled on 19 October 2026; see each figure's source for its method and date. Page generated 2026-10-19. How this tracker works.