Home Conflicts Asia Afghanistan–Pakistan war (Taliban government vs Pakistan)

Afghanistan–Pakistan war (Taliban government vs Pakistan)

Active fighting War Interstate war Since 21 February 2026 Asia

Pakistan accuses the Afghan Taliban of sheltering the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and other militants behind a surge of attacks inside Pakistan; Kabul denies it. After a ten-day border war in October 2025 ended in a Qatar/Turkey-brokered ceasefire, Pakistan resumed air strikes on 21 February 2026 and declared 'open war' on 27 February, bombing Kabul, Kandahar, Bagram and the eastern provinces; a strike on a Kabul drug-rehabilitation hospital on 16 March killed at least 269 people (UNAMA). Fighting ebbed after April into tit-for-tat strikes and border clashes, flared again after the September 2026 Kohat attack, and continued in October 2026 as Moscow-format talks ended without agreement and Pakistan imposed emergency rule in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.

Key figures

Estimates as of 12 October 2026 · reviewed 19 October 2026
Total killed (cumulative)
413–1,934
as of 12 October 2026
Civilians killed
372–811
as of 12 October 2026
Combatants killed
41–1,123
as of 12 October 2026
Wounded
423+
as of 12 October 2026
Deaths, last 12 months
522–2,279
recorded fatalities
Internally displaced
100,900–118,000
as of 12 October 2026
Duration
7 months
since 21 February 2026
Read these numbers carefully. They are compiled from the sources listed below (UN agencies, conflict-data projects such as UCDP and ACLED, governments, NGOs and news organisations) whose methods differ — some count only documented deaths, others estimate excess mortality. Ranges show the spread between sources; a single figure means only one credible estimate exists. Nothing on this page is a live counter: figures change only when the page is reviewed and rebuilt. For scale, the mid-point of the last-12-months range works out to roughly 3.8 deaths per day on average over the past year — an average, not a current rate. Overall confidence in the casualty picture: low.

Who is fighting

Parties, allies and estimated forces

Pakistan

Forces & groups
  • Pakistan Army
  • Pakistan Air Force
  • Frontier Corps (Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan)
  • Counter-Terrorism Department
External support
  • China (diplomatic mediation)
  • Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey (mediation)
Estimated strength
≈ 200,000 troops historically committed to the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa theatre plus 20,000–40,000 Frontier Corps (2010s estimates); PAF JF-17, J-10C and F-16 squadrons used in strikes source ↗

Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (Taliban government)

Forces & groups
  • Islamic National Army (incl. 203 Mansouri and 209 Al-Fatah corps)
  • Afghan Air Force (drones)
  • Border Force
External support
  • Russia (mediation offer; recognised the Taliban government in 2025)
  • Iran and Uzbekistan (calls for ceasefire, Termez talks)
Estimated strength
unknown; no independent estimate of Taliban force size is available source ↗

Pakistani militant groups based in or operating from Afghanistan

Forces & groups
  • Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP)
  • Ittehad-ul-Mujahideen Pakistan (incl. Hafiz Gul Bahadur group)
  • Jamaat-ul-Ahrar
  • Baloch Liberation Army (camps targeted by Pakistan in Helmand/Kunar)
External support
  • Afghan Taliban (alleged by Pakistan; denied by Kabul)
Estimated strength
unknown; TTP estimated at several thousand fighters (older estimates up to 25,000 in 2014) source ↗

Force sizes are estimates of personnel or fighters, usually from IISS, government statements or specialist reporting; irregular forces are especially hard to count. "(reported)" marks external support that the backer disputes or has not confirmed.

Background

Origins, phases and the current situation

Afghanistan has never recognised the 1893 Durand Line, and border skirmishes have recurred since 1949. The current crisis stems from the Taliban's 2021 return to power, after which the TTP regrouped in eastern Afghanistan and attacks in Pakistan's Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan rose to their highest levels in a decade. Pakistan carried out cross-border strikes in 2022–2024 and deported hundreds of thousands of Afghans.

On 9 October 2025 Pakistan struck Kabul, Khost, Jalalabad and Paktika targeting the TTP leadership; the Taliban attacked Pakistani posts along the border on 11–12 October and heavy fighting followed around Spin Boldak. Qatar and Turkey brokered a ceasefire in Doha on 19 October 2025 under which Kabul pledged to curb militants, but Istanbul follow-up talks collapsed on 8 November and Pakistan's defence minister declared a 'state of war' after an Islamabad bombing on 11 November.

On 21–22 February 2026 Pakistan bombed what it called seven TTP and ISKP camps in Nangarhar, Paktika and Khost; the Taliban reported civilian deaths and launched a 'retaliatory operation' on 26 February. Pakistan then struck Kabul, Kandahar, Jalalabad airport and Bagram and declared 'open war' (Operation Ghazab Lil Haq). UNAMA counted 56 civilians killed in the first week and the 16 March Kabul hospital strike alone killed at least 269. Pauses for Eid al-Fitr (19–24 March) and Eid al-Adha (25–29 May), China-mediated talks in Ürümqi (April) and an Uzbek-hosted meeting in Termez (June) produced no settlement.

Since April the war has been low-intensity: Pakistani air strikes in June (the UN confirmed at least 41 civilian deaths) and Taliban drone attacks into Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan, with no major ground battles between the two militaries. The 18–19 September 2026 Kohat attack (31 killed, claimed by the Hafiz Gul Bahadur-led Ittehad-ul-Mujahideen Pakistan) ended a three-month lull: Pakistan struck Kunar, Paktika, Kandahar, Paktia, Khost and on 1 October Helmand and Kunar, where UNAMA reported at least ten civilians killed, mostly children. The eighth Moscow-format consultation ended on 5 October without a joint statement, border clashes in Kurram and Paktia followed, and on 11 October Pakistan placed Khyber Pakhtunkhwa under emergency and governor's rule.

Recent developments

Latest events · newest first

Timeline

Key events since 21 February 2026

Casualties and displacement in detail

Low and high estimates with their sources
MeasureLowHighWhat the figure covers · source
Total killed (cumulative)4131,934Since 21 Feb 2026 only. Low = UNAMA-verified Afghan civilian deaths (372, to 12 May) plus soldiers each government admits losing (Pakistan 13, Afghanistan 28). High = sum of each side's claims about the other (Taliban: 800 Afghan civilians; Pakistan: 796 Taliban fighters and 11 Pakistani civilians; Afghanistan: 327 Pakistani soldiers). Excludes the October 2025 round (see deathsLast12Months).
en.wikipedia.org ↗
Combatants killed411,123Low: 13 Pakistani soldiers (Pakistan, Anadolu) + 28 Afghan soldiers (Afghanistan, as of 3 Mar). High: Pakistan's claim of 796 Taliban fighters killed + Afghanistan's claim of 327 Pakistani soldiers killed. Neither is independently verified.
en.wikipedia.org ↗
Civilians killed372811Low: UNAMA count of Afghan civilians killed by Pakistani strikes to 12 May 2026 (includes at least 269 at the Kabul hospital on 16 Mar). High: Taliban claim of about 800 Afghan civilians plus 11 Pakistani civilians reported by Pakistan. UN said by October 2026 it had documented more than 1,100 civilian casualties (killed and injured) in Afghanistan from cross-Durand Line violence.
en.wikipedia.org ↗
Wounded423–UNAMA: 397 Afghan civilians wounded to 12 May 2026, plus 26 Pakistani civilians (Pakistan). Military wounded claimed: 350+ Pakistani soldiers (Afghan claim), 1,043+ Taliban (Pakistani claim), 27 Pakistani soldiers (Pakistan).
en.wikipedia.org ↗
Deaths in the last 12 months5222,279Combines the 9–19 Oct 2025 round (UNAMA: 37 Afghan civilians killed; Pakistan admits 29 soldiers, Afghanistan 43–48 killed; claims up to 250+ and 58) with the totals above for 21 Feb–12 Oct 2026. Most military figures are one-sided claims.
en.wikipedia.org ↗
Internally displaced100,900118,000UNHCR (5 Mar 2026): about 115,000 displaced inside Afghanistan and 3,000 in Pakistan; OCHA counted 100,900 displaced across Khost, Kunar, Nangarhar, Nuristan, Paktia and Paktika between late February and late April 2026.
en.wikipedia.org ↗
Refugees abroad––Not applicable as a refugee flow; Pakistan continued mass deportations of Afghans (Torkham deportations paused in March, Spin Boldak continued).
en.wikipedia.org ↗

Intensity classification: Classification uncertain. UNAMA verified 372 Afghan civilians killed by Pakistani strikes by 12 May 2026 and more than 1,100 civilian casualties (killed and injured) by October; military losses are only available as contested claims (Pakistan claims 796 Taliban fighters killed; Afghanistan claims 327 Pakistani soldiers killed; each side admits only a few dozen). Best estimate of total deaths since October 2025 is several hundred to about 2,000..

Countries affected

Live population · open a country for its full profile

Frequently asked questions

Who is fighting in the Afghanistan–Pakistan war (Taliban government vs Pakistan)?

Pakistan (Pakistan Army, Pakistan Air Force, Frontier Corps (Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan), Counter-Terrorism Department), supported by China (diplomatic mediation), Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey (mediation); against Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (Taliban government) (Islamic National Army (incl. 203 Mansouri and 209 Al-Fatah corps), Afghan Air Force (drones), Border Force), supported by Russia (mediation offer; recognised the Taliban government in 2025), Iran and Uzbekistan (calls for ceasefire, Termez talks); against Pakistani militant groups based in or operating from Afghanistan (Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), Ittehad-ul-Mujahideen Pakistan (incl. Hafiz Gul Bahadur group), Jamaat-ul-Ahrar, Baloch Liberation Army (camps targeted by Pakistan in Helmand/Kunar)), supported by Afghan Taliban (alleged by Pakistan; denied by Kabul).

How many people have been killed?

Estimates range from 413–1,934 killed as of 12 October 2026. Since 21 Feb 2026 only. Low = UNAMA-verified Afghan civilian deaths (372, to 12 May) plus soldiers each government admits losing (Pakistan 13, Afghanistan 28). High = sum of each side's claims about the other (Taliban: 800 Afghan civilians; Pakistan: 796 Taliban fighters and 11 Pakistani civilians; Afghanistan: 327 Pakistani soldiers). Excludes the October 2025 round (see deathsLast12Months). Civilian deaths are put at 372–811. Figures come from the sources listed on this page and differ in method; see the caveats above.

Is the Afghanistan–Pakistan war (Taliban government vs Pakistan) still ongoing in 2026?

Status as of 19 October 2026: Active fighting — Pakistan accuses the Afghan Taliban of sheltering the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and other militants behind a surge of attacks inside Pakistan; Kabul denies it. After a ten-day border war in October 2025 ended in a Qatar/Turkey-brokered ceasefire, Pakistan resumed air strikes on 21 February 2026 and declared 'open war' on 27 February, bombing Kabul, Kandahar, Bagram and the eastern provinces; a strike on a Kabul drug-rehabilitation hospital on 16 March killed at least 269 people (UNAMA). Fighting ebbed after April into tit-for-tat strikes and border clashes, flared again after the September 2026 Kohat attack, and continued in October 2026 as Moscow-format talks ended without agreement and Pakistan imposed emergency rule in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.

When did it start?

The current phase began on 21 February 2026, but the underlying conflict dates back to 1949 — 7 months ago.

Sources

Where these figures come from
  1. Wikipedia — 2026 Afghanistan–Pakistan war (index to primary sources) en.wikipedia.org
  2. FDD Long War Journal — border clashes continue after Moscow talks (12 Oct 2026) longwarjournal.org
  3. CFR Global Conflict Tracker — Afghanistan–Pakistan cfr.org
  4. OHCHR — UN experts call for lasting peace on the Afghan–Pakistani border (Mar 2026) ohchr.org
  5. UNAMA casualty confirmation (via News On AIR, 13 Mar 2026) newsonair.gov.in
  6. Wikipedia — 2026 Kabul hospital airstrike en.wikipedia.org
  7. ACLED Asia-Pacific Overview July 2026 acleddata.com
  8. IFRI — Afghanistan-Pakistan: the overlooked war ifri.org

More conflicts

Asia and connected conflicts

Cite or link to this page

Free to reuse with attribution
APAGlostats. (2026). Afghanistan–Pakistan war: Casualties & Timeline (2026). Retrieved October 20, 2026, from https://glostats.com/conflicts/afghanistan-pakistan-war/
HTML<a href="https://glostats.com/conflicts/afghanistan-pakistan-war/">Afghanistan–Pakistan war: Casualties & Timeline (2026)</a> — Glostats

Figures on this page may be quoted, charted or republished as long as the page is credited with a link. Terms · Download the data as CSV · Embed a live counter.

This page summarises publicly available reporting and does not take sides. Casualty and force figures are estimates compiled on 19 October 2026; see each figure's source for its method and date. Page generated 2026-10-20. How this tracker works.