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Russia–Ukraine war

Active fighting Major war Interstate war Since 24 February 2022 Europe

Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, launched on 24 February 2022, is the largest war in Europe since 1945. As of October 2026 Russian forces occupy roughly 20% of Ukraine and continue grinding offensives in Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia and Kharkiv oblasts while Ukraine mounts limited counterattacks; both sides wage long-range drone and missile campaigns against energy infrastructure. US-brokered talks (Abu Dhabi, January–February 2026), a three-day truce in May and two announced 'energy ceasefires' in September and October 2026 have not produced a settlement, and civilian casualties reached record monthly highs in 2026.

Key figures

Estimates as of 16 October 2026 · reviewed 19 October 2026
Total killed (cumulative)
331,000–870,000
as of 16 October 2026
Civilians killed
17,257+
as of 16 October 2026
Combatants killed
313,989–849,618
as of 16 October 2026
Wounded
1,330,000–1,530,000
as of 16 October 2026
Deaths, last 12 months
94,700+
recorded fatalities
Internally displaced
3,700,000–3,900,000
as of 16 October 2026
Refugees abroad
5,213,000–5,762,000
as of 16 October 2026
Duration
4 years, 7 months
since 24 February 2022
Read these numbers carefully. They are compiled from the sources listed below (UN agencies, conflict-data projects such as UCDP and ACLED, governments, NGOs and news organisations) whose methods differ — some count only documented deaths, others estimate excess mortality. Ranges show the spread between sources; a single figure means only one credible estimate exists. Nothing on this page is a live counter: figures change only when the page is reviewed and rebuilt. For scale, the mid-point of the last-12-months range works out to roughly 259 deaths per day on average over the past year — an average, not a current rate. Overall confidence in the casualty picture: medium.

Who is fighting

Parties, allies and estimated forces

Russia and allies

Forces & groups
  • Russian Armed Forces
  • Rosgvardia (National Guard)
  • Forces of the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Luhansk 'people's republics' (integrated into Russian forces)
  • Africa Corps / former Wagner formations
  • Korean People's Army contingent (Kursk, 2024–2025)
External support
  • North Korea (troops, artillery and missiles)
  • Iran (drones and missiles)
  • Belarus (territory and logistics)
  • China (dual-use components; reported)
Estimated strength
≈ 711,000–721,300 Russian personnel in Ukraine and the border area (Ukrainian commander-in-chief Syrskyi, end of June 2026); Russia planned to recruit a further 409,000 in 2026. Total Russian armed forces ≈ 1.1–1.5 million active (IISS 2025 / Western estimates). source ↗

Ukraine

Forces & groups
  • Armed Forces of Ukraine
  • National Guard of Ukraine
  • State Border Guard Service
  • Security Service of Ukraine (SBU)
  • Territorial Defence Forces
  • International Legion
External support
  • United States (military aid and intelligence; sales since 2025)
  • European Union and member states (especially Germany, Poland, Netherlands, Nordic and Baltic states)
  • United Kingdom
  • Canada
  • Japan
  • Australia
  • Turkey (arms sales)
Estimated strength
≈ 800,000–900,000 in the Armed Forces of Ukraine (Zelensky cited 880,000 in January 2025 and an 800,000 ceiling in the 2026 peace-plan draft); wider Defence Forces including National Guard and Border Guard ≈ 1 million (estimate). source ↗

Force sizes are estimates of personnel or fighters, usually from IISS, government statements or specialist reporting; irregular forces are especially hard to count. "(reported)" marks external support that the backer disputes or has not confirmed.

Background

Origins, phases and the current situation

The conflict began in 2014, when Russia annexed Crimea and backed separatist forces in Ukraine's Donbas region; that war killed roughly 14,000 people before 2022 despite the Minsk agreements. On 24 February 2022 Russia launched a full-scale invasion aimed at Kyiv. The assault on the capital failed within weeks, and Ukrainian counteroffensives recaptured Kharkiv oblast (September 2022) and the city of Kherson (November 2022). Russia nevertheless claimed to annex four Ukrainian oblasts in September 2022 and dug in along a front now about 1,200 km long.

2023 and 2024 were dominated by attritional fighting: Russia took Bakhmut (May 2023) and Avdiivka (February 2024) at enormous cost; Ukraine's 2023 summer counteroffensive stalled; Ukraine seized a pocket of Russia's Kursk oblast in August 2024 which Russia, reinforced by some 14,000–15,000 North Korean troops, retook by spring 2025. In 2025 Russia pushed slowly toward Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka while massively expanding drone and missile strikes on Ukrainian cities and the power grid. Diplomacy resumed under the second Trump administration: direct Russia–Ukraine talks in Istanbul (May 2025) produced large prisoner swaps; a Trump–Putin summit in Alaska (August 2025) produced no deal; a US–Russian 28-point plan (November 2025) requiring Ukraine to cede territory was rejected by Kyiv and replaced by a US–Ukrainian 20-point draft.

In 2026 the three countries met in Abu Dhabi (23–24 January and 4–5 February), agreeing prisoner exchanges but not on the central issue, Russia's demand for the rest of Donbas. Russia completed the capture of Pokrovsk, Myrnohrad and Huliaipole in February and claimed Kostiantynivka in July (disputed by Kyiv). Ukraine launched a counteroffensive on the Oleksandrivka front on 11 February that, by Ukrainian figures, regained about 745 km2 by August, and 'Operation Vivaldi' north of Lyman claimed a further 277 km2 by 14 October. A Trump-brokered three-day truce (9–11 May) accompanied a 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner swap but quickly unravelled. Trump announced an 'energy ceasefire' on 14 September and again on 11 October 2026; Ukraine said Russia kept striking power plants and Russia never confirmed a deal. Ukraine replaced its commander-in-chief (Mykhailo Drapatyi for Oleksandr Syrskyi) in July 2026 and has struck dozens of Russian refineries and ports.

The human cost is uncertain. The UN had verified 17,257 civilians killed and 53,693 injured by the end of July 2026, a minimum; July 2026 (437 killed) was the deadliest month for civilians since May 2022 and September 2026 (328 killed, 2,105 injured) was 85% worse than a year earlier. About 5.76 million Ukrainians were refugees abroad (April 2026) and 3.9 million were displaced inside the country (June 2026). Military losses are contested: independent journalists have confirmed by name more than 258,000 Russian dead and more than 103,000 Ukrainian dead, while Western intelligence estimates put total Russian casualties at 1.3–1.5 million including roughly 500,000 killed, and Ukrainian casualties at 525,000–625,000 including 125,000–150,000 killed (CSIS, July 2026).

Recent developments

Latest events · newest first

Timeline

Key events since 24 February 2022

Casualties and displacement in detail

Low and high estimates with their sources
MeasureLowHighWhat the figure covers · source
Total killed (cumulative)331,000870,000Low = sum of documented floors: 258,989 Russian soldiers confirmed dead by name (Mediazona/BBC, to 21 Sept 2026) + 55,000 Ukrainian soldiers officially confirmed killed (Zelensky, Feb 2026) + 17,257 civilians verified by OHCHR (end-July 2026). High = sum of upper estimates: BBC Russian estimate of up to 649,618 Russian dead (16 Oct 2026) + BBC estimate of ~200,000 Ukrainian soldiers killed (Feb 2026) + the verified civilian minimum (the real civilian toll, e.g. in Mariupol, is believed far higher). Le Monde estimated ~500,000 total deaths in February 2026. Figures mix named counts and statistical estimates; neither government publishes full data.
en.wikipedia.org ↗
Combatants killed313,989849,618Russia: 258,989 confirmed by name (Mediazona/BBC Russian, to 21 Sept 2026; Mediazona added 17,000+ more names by 9 Oct after a leaked body-exchange list); probate-based Mediazona/Meduza estimate ~352,000 dead to end-2025 (excl. DPR/LPR militias); UK, NATO and GCHQ estimates ~500,000 killed (2026); BBC Russian upper estimate 649,618 (16 Oct 2026). Ukraine: 55,000 officially confirmed (Feb 2026) with ~90,000+ missing; UALosses open-source list 103,418 dead and 97,938 missing (Oct 2026); CSIS 125,000–150,000 killed (July 2026); BBC ~200,000 (Feb 2026). Russia's MoD claim of 1.5 million Ukrainian casualties and Ukraine's General Staff claim of 1,559,230 Russian losses (15 Oct 2026) are not independently verifiable.
kyivindependent.com ↗
Civilians killed17,257–OHCHR/HRMMU verified 17,257 civilians killed and 53,693 injured in Ukraine from 24 Feb 2022 to end-July 2026; OHCHR stresses the real figures are considerably higher because verification in occupied and besieged areas (e.g. Mariupol) is incomplete. January–September 2026 alone: 2,570 killed, 15,211 injured (59% above the same period of 2025). Civilian deaths inside Russia from Ukrainian strikes (hundreds) are not included.
statista.com ↗
Wounded1,330,0001,530,000Russian wounded ≈ 900,000–1,000,000 (UK estimate Sept 2026: 1.5 million casualties incl. ~500,000 killed; NATO June 2026: 1.3–1.45 million casualties); Ukrainian wounded ≥ 380,000 (official, Feb 2025) to ~400,000–475,000 (CSIS July 2026 range of 525,000–625,000 casualties minus killed); civilians injured 53,693 (OHCHR, end-July 2026). Derived sums; counts include multiple woundings of the same person.
en.wikipedia.org ↗
Deaths in the last 12 months94,700–UCDP: at least 94,700 battle-related deaths in calendar 2025 (lower-bound methodology). No UCDP figure for Oct 2025–Oct 2026 yet; 2026 intensity is similar or higher (Ukraine claims 30,000–46,000 Russian casualties per month; record civilian casualties).
uu.se ↗
Internally displaced3,700,0003,900,000UN/UNHCR estimate ~3.7 million IDPs (January 2026); IOM General Population Survey ~3.9 million (June 2026), about 12% of the population, with 132,000 newly displaced in January–June 2026.
shelter.in.ua ↗
Refugees abroad5,213,0005,762,000UNHCR (30 April 2026): 5.762 million refugees from Ukraine recorded globally, of whom 5.213 million in Europe; down from 5.924 million in February 2026. Figures count registrations, not net presence; several hundred thousand more live in Russia under different reporting.
interfax.com ↗

Intensity classification: UCDP recorded at least 94,700 battle-related deaths in the Russia–Ukraine war in calendar 2025 (about 62% of the global total); Ukraine's General Staff claims 46,230 Russian casualties in September 2026 alone, and the UN verified a record 2,570 civilians killed in January–September 2026..

Countries affected

Live population · open a country for its full profile

Frequently asked questions

Who is fighting in the Russia–Ukraine war?

Russia and allies (Russian Armed Forces, Rosgvardia (National Guard), Forces of the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Luhansk 'people's republics' (integrated into Russian forces), Africa Corps / former Wagner formations, …), supported by North Korea (troops, artillery and missiles), Iran (drones and missiles), Belarus (territory and logistics), China (dual-use components; reported); against Ukraine (Armed Forces of Ukraine, National Guard of Ukraine, State Border Guard Service, Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), …), supported by United States (military aid and intelligence; sales since 2025), European Union and member states (especially Germany, Poland, Netherlands, Nordic and Baltic states), United Kingdom, Canada.

How many people have been killed?

Estimates range from 331,000–870,000 killed as of 16 October 2026. Low = sum of documented floors: 258,989 Russian soldiers confirmed dead by name (Mediazona/BBC, to 21 Sept 2026) + 55,000 Ukrainian soldiers officially confirmed killed (Zelensky, Feb 2026) + 17,257 civilians verified by OHCHR (end-July 2026). High = sum of upper estimates: BBC Russian estimate of up to 649,618 Russian dead (16 Oct 2026) + BBC estimate of ~200,000 Ukrainian soldiers killed (Feb 2026) + the verified civilian minimum (the real civilian toll, e.g. in Mariupol, is believed far higher). Le Monde estimated ~500,000 total deaths in February 2026. Figures mix named counts and statistical estimates; neither government publishes full data. Civilian deaths are put at 17,257+. Figures come from the sources listed on this page and differ in method; see the caveats above.

Is the Russia–Ukraine war still ongoing in 2026?

Status as of 19 October 2026: Active fighting — Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, launched on 24 February 2022, is the largest war in Europe since 1945. As of October 2026 Russian forces occupy roughly 20% of Ukraine and continue grinding offensives in Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia and Kharkiv oblasts while Ukraine mounts limited counterattacks; both sides wage long-range drone and missile campaigns against energy infrastructure. US-brokered talks (Abu Dhabi, January–February 2026), a three-day truce in May and two announced 'energy ceasefires' in September and October 2026 have not produced a settlement, and civilian casualties reached record monthly highs in 2026.

When did it start?

The current phase began on 24 February 2022, but the underlying conflict dates back to 2014 — 4 years, 7 months ago.

Sources

Where these figures come from
  1. UCDP — 2025 conflict data press release (Uppsala University) uu.se
  2. CFR Global Conflict Tracker — War in Ukraine cfr.org
  3. OHCHR / HRMMU civilian casualty series (via Statista) statista.com
  4. Mediazona / BBC Russian — named Russian military deaths en.zona.media
  5. UALosses — named Ukrainian military deaths ualosses.org
  6. UNHCR Ukraine refugee situation data portal data.unhcr.org
  7. Wikipedia — Casualties of the Russo-Ukrainian war (index of estimates) en.wikipedia.org
  8. Wikipedia — 2026 US–Ukraine–Russia meetings in Abu Dhabi en.wikipedia.org

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APAGlostats. (2026). Russia–Ukraine war — Casualties, Forces & Timeline (2026). Retrieved October 20, 2026, from https://glostats.com/conflicts/russia-ukraine-war/
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This page summarises publicly available reporting and does not take sides. Casualty and force figures are estimates compiled on 19 October 2026; see each figure's source for its method and date. Page generated 2026-10-20. How this tracker works.